Cross-chain reconciliation
Dispute Votes
Polygon disputes that escalated to the Ethereum-mainnet UMA DVM. Each links a Polygon dispute to the L1 vote that decided it — and surfaces how concentrated that deciding vote was.
| Market / questionId | Revealed weight (UMA) | Voters | Top-5 share | HHI | Pivotal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 14? | 279.904 000 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.595 | 2 | → |
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on March 14? | 279.904 000 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.595 | 2 | → |
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5) | 305.598 358 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.55 | 2 | → |
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5) | 305.598 358 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.55 | 2 | → |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 14? | 279.904 000 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.595 | 2 | → |
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-14.5) | 305.598 358 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.55 | 2 | → |
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 | 200.904 000 | 1 | 100.0% | 1 | 1 | → |
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | 200.904 000 | 1 | 100.0% | 1 | 1 | → |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 14? | 279.904 000 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.595 | 2 | → |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 14? | 279.904 000 | 2 | 100.0% | 0.595 | 2 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27? | 1 801.936 842 | 5 | 100.0% | 0.373 | 5 | → |
Rainbow Six Siege: Young Generation vs Seventh Heaven - Game 2 Winner | 74 033.069 900 | 6 | 100.0% | 0.439 | 4 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for New York Jets in 2026-27? | 1 813.488 062 | 6 | 99.4% | 0.368 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27? | 1 813.488 062 | 6 | 99.4% | 0.368 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27? | 1 813.488 062 | 6 | 99.4% | 0.368 | 5 | → |
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27? | 1 813.488 062 | 6 | 99.4% | 0.368 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27? | 2 847.316 689 | 7 | 95.2% | 0.281 | 1 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for another team in 2026-27? | 2 847.316 689 | 7 | 95.2% | 0.281 | 1 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27? | 2 847.316 689 | 7 | 95.2% | 0.281 | 1 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? | 1 926.488 062 | 7 | 93.5% | 0.33 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Giants in 2026-27? | 1 926.488 062 | 7 | 93.5% | 0.33 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27? | 1 926.488 062 | 7 | 93.5% | 0.33 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Carolina Panthers in 2026-27? | 1 926.488 062 | 7 | 93.5% | 0.33 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Los Angeles Rams in 2026-27? | 1 926.488 062 | 7 | 93.5% | 0.33 | 5 | → |
Will Mikes Evans play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27? | 1 926.488 062 | 7 | 93.5% | 0.33 | 5 | → |
Will Khalil Mack play for New York Jets in 2026-27? | 13 325 806.583 318 | 313 | 40.7% | 0.045 | 312 | → |
Iran leadership change by March 13? | 16 605 070.700 571 | 560 | 34.1% | 0.035 | 559 | → |
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 16 609 136.513 535 | 566 | 34.1% | 0.035 | 465 | → |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | 16 609 248.633 061 | 567 | 34.1% | 0.035 | 71 | → |
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5) | 16 609 880.377 195 | 568 | 34.1% | 0.035 | 567 | → |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9AM ET | 16 613 331.609 935 | 569 | 34.1% | 0.035 | 396 | → |
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2? | 16 613 331.609 935 | 569 | 34.1% | 0.035 | 467 | → |
Will Khalil Mack play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27? | 16 749 708.808 626 | 576 | 33.6% | 0.034 | 558 | → |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | 16 763 021.643 377 | 577 | 33.6% | 0.034 | 536 | → |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 16 763 425.713 007 | 579 | 33.6% | 0.034 | 537 | → |
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 10? | 16 833 356.657 318 | 582 | 33.5% | 0.034 | 558 | → |
CEHL: Trinec vs. Olomouc | 16 834 303.278 866 | 582 | 33.5% | 0.034 | 562 | → |
Rainbow Six Siege: Young Generation vs Seventh Heaven - Game 1 Winner | 17 026 265.908 509 | 572 | 33.2% | 0.034 | 568 | → |
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | 17 031 089.290 940 | 570 | 33.2% | 0.034 | 564 | → |
Will Aitor Paredes record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? | 17 100 832.183 250 | 573 | 33.1% | 0.033 | 572 | → |
Will FK Polissia vs. FK Karpaty Lviv end in a draw? | 17 100 832.183 250 | 573 | 33.1% | 0.033 | 80 | → |
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan? | 17 100 836.963 632 | 573 | 33.1% | 0.033 | 567 | → |
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? | 17 100 836.963 632 | 573 | 33.1% | 0.033 | 572 | → |
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | 17 100 836.963 632 | 573 | 33.1% | 0.033 | 567 | → |